SPC Severe weather - Mantico Hill

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SPC Day 4-8 Outlook

Updates are issued at 400 am CST/CDT (0900/1000 UTC) - Current UTC time: Sep 25 2023 5:27 pm

Day 1

D4	Thursday Sep 28 2023 - Friday Sep 29 2023	D7	Sunday Oct 1 2023 - Monday Oct 2 2023
D5	Friday Sep 29 2023 - Saturday Sep 30 2023	D8	Monday Oct 2 2023 - Tuesday Oct 3 2023
D6	Saturday Sep 30 2023 - Sunday Oct 1 2023	(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)

PREDICTABILITY TOO LOW is used to indicate severe storms may be possible based on some model scenarios. However, the location or occurrence of severe storms are in doubt due to:
1) large differences in the deterministic model solutions,
2) large spread in the ensemble guidance, and/or
3) minimal run-to-run continuity.

POTENTIAL TOO LOW means the threat for a regional area of organized severe storms appears highly unlikely during the entire period (e.g. less than a 30% probability for a regional severe storm area across the CONUS through the entire Day 4-8 period).

Day 2

Day 3

Largly based on original scripts from Ken True: saratoga-weather.org and Rick Curly: ricksturf.com

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Weather-station Davis VP2+ with 24-Hour Fan Aspirated Radiation Shield	Weather-program Meteohub	Weather-server Raspberry Pi 2 Model B